Nearly half of Kenyans expect ODM leader Raila Odinga to abandon President William Ruto ahead of the 2027 elections, according to the latest survey.
The study, by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA), released on Wednesday, May 28, shows that at least 46 per cent of those surveyed believe Raila will bolt out of the broad-based government, and his relationship with Ruto is highly likely to shift from that of friend to foe.
Those sampled believe Raila will rejoin the Opposition, whether he will be seeking the presidency himself (28 per cent) or he will be supporting another candidate against Ruto (18 per cent). Despite being part of the contentious broad-based government that has seen Raila and Ruto strike up a political partnership, a section of supporters of this agreement still believe he will be Ruto's competitor in the polls.
President William Ruto (centre) arriving for the installation of Cooperative University Chancellor in Karen, flanked by other leaders, including ODM chief Raila Odinga, on April 30, 2025.
