Kenya's Raila Odinga stands a strong chance of winning the African Union Commission (AUC) chairmanship if current political alignments remain unchanged, a diplomatic expert has averred.
Odinga faces two contenders; Djibouti's Foreign Affairs Minister Mahmoud Ali Youssouf and Madagascar's former Foreign Affairs Minister Richard Randriamandrato.
With less than a day before the highly anticipated AUC chairperson elections in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, where nearly 50 African Heads of State will cast their votes, diplomatic analysts are weighing in on potential voting patterns.
Speaking on Spice FM on Friday, February 14, South Sudanese diplomatic expert Albino Aboug broke down his analysis of Odinga's prospects, citing his personal networks and Kenya's regional alliances as key factors. "Let's start with West Africa, for example, a region which has a high probability of voting for Odinga… So in this case you will have six or seven countries in Western Africa voting for him," he opined. "Then come to Eastern Africa, our region, You have South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Tanzania, Eritrea and Ethiopia, about eight votes.
